03 — The Universe

421 spreads. 48 month-pairs. One liquid core.

Every dot is a real expiring instrument: x = tenor, y = lifetime volume (log), size ∝ bars, colour = average regime. The 1-month tenor carries 274M of the ~400M total volume — that's where the edge is tradeable. Hover any dot; filter by tenor; sort the table.

avg backwardation avg contango · bubble area ∝ #bars · hover for detail
1-MONTH

274M

vol · 107 spreads · the liquid core

3-MONTH

62M

vol · 107 spreads

6-MONTH

40M

vol · 107 spreads

12-MONTH

23M

vol · 100 spreads · Dec–Dec reds

TOP BY LIFETIME VOLUME — click headers to sort
SpreadSymbolTenor VolumeAvg spreadσ MinMax
Mean Reversion

The spread always comes home.

A single outright price trends and gaps. A spread breathes around a mean — the statistical foundation of the whole game. Here's a flagship spread's full life with its mean and ±2σ band. Trade the band, not the trend.

spread close mean ±2σ band

"Buy the −2σ, sell the mean. The carry pays you to wait."